Please find the March 2026 Monthly Market Trends Report HERE To access previous reports, click HERE or visit usreop.com and search for US REO Partners Monthly Market Trends Report under “Resources.”
USREOP Updates
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While there was a shortage of single-family homes for sale due to underbuilding since the Great Recession, home builders increased production to meet the surge in demand that began 2020-2021, when mortgage rates were at historic lows. Single-family housing starts averaged 1 million or more in four of the last […]
This week, the Research Institute for Housing America (RIHA), MBA’s think tank, released a special report, Stabilizing Vulnerable Homeowners in a Time of Crisis: Insights from the Homeowner Assistance Fund. The report examines the Homeowner Assistance Fund (HAF), a $10 billion federal program launched by the U.S. Department of Treasury in April […]
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest Commercial Delinquency Report, commercial mortgage delinquency rates were mixed across investor groups in the fourth quarter of 2025. MBA’s analysis, which covers commercial banks and thrifts, CMBS, life insurance companies, and government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, found that most capital sources experienced […]
Please find the February 2026 Monthly Market Trends Report HERE. To access previous reports, click HERE or visit usreop.com and search for US REO Partners Monthly Market Trends Report under “Resources.”
In 2025, job growth slowed to a crawl as the economy added an average of 10,000 jobs per month, and what little growth there was came from just a few sectors, notably health care. The diffusion index averaged 48.2 for all of 2025, meaning less than half of all industry […]
Seventeen percent ($875 billion) of the $5.0 trillion of outstanding commercial mortgages held by lenders and investors is scheduled to mature in 2026, a 9 percent decrease from the $957 billion that was scheduled to mature in 2025. This is according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) 2025 Commercial Real Estate […]
Please find the January 2026 Monthly Market Trends Report HERE. To access previous reports, click HERE or visit usreop.com and search for US REO Partners Monthly Market Trends Report under “Resources.”
December’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) results continued to indicate a soft job market with employers reducing open positions and hiring at a cautious pace, and workers are still voluntarily leaving their jobs at a slower rate. A low level of quits usually implies that workers are less […]
The yield curve steepened significantly from the end of 2024 and through 2025. The Federal Reserve cut rates three times in 2025, leading to a decline in short-term rates while long-term rates remained elevated. This week’s Chart of the Week focuses on how the steepening yield curve is impacting multifamily lending. The […]
Recent housing policy proposals advanced by the Trump administration have focused primarily on improving home purchase affordability and expanding opportunities for households to gain a foothold on the “homeownership ladder.” Ensuring that young households—across all racial and ethnic groups—can achieve homeownership has long been a bipartisan priority, sustained across multiple […]
With the winter season upon us, this new issue of PRTNR Magazine highlights the power of connection, perspective, and purposeful engagement—both in business and in our communities. From client conversations and actionable listing tips to timely market insights and meaningful ways to support our veterans, this edition is designed to inform, inspire, […]
The spread between mortgage rates and Treasury rates is impacted by several factors, including the level of interest rate volatility and the relative demand/supply balance of the two types of securities. In recent months, rate volatility has diminished, as the future course of monetary policy has become clearer and financial […]
Please find the December 2025 Monthly Market Trends Report HERE. To access previous reports, click HERE or visit usreop.com and search for US REO Partners Monthly Market Trends Report under “Resources.”
The pace of employment growth slowed in December to 50,000 jobs, in line with the average pace of 49,000 for all of 2025. Employment growth was much slower than the roughly 168,000 job pace in 2024. Employment numbers for October and November were revised downwards by 76,000, considerably weaker than […]
The beginning of the calendar year brings changes to employee benefits and associated costs for both mortgage company employers and employees. Based on data collected through the MBA and STRATMOR Peer Group Roundtables Program, this week’s Chart of the Week shows that residential lender-paid and servicer-paid costs have generally increased over the past […]
In recent years as volume has subsided, mortgage lenders have been focused on rising origination expenses, including credit costs. In competitive markets like that for mortgage originations, lender profit margins can absorb some of these cost increases in the short run, but escalating fulfillment costs are ultimately borne by consumers. […]
Developers have been building many apartment units over the past several years. We expect the pace of development to slow in the years ahead, given declining fundamentals including falling rents, rising vacancies, and increasing delinquencies in the multifamily sector (see MBA CREF Databook). This Chart of the Week focuses on trends in multifamily […]
First-time homebuyers[i] (FTHBs) are an incredibly important group to the housing market, particularly given the lock-in effect, which is causing many older homeowners to forego moves. Studying the profiles and preferences of FTHBs is key for housing analysts and policymakers focused on topics such as housing preferences, affordability, and general financial […]
According to data from MBA’s Builder Applications Survey (BAS), 24.6 percent of applications to purchase a newly built home were adjustable rate mortgage (ARM) loan applications in October. Rates for ARM loans have been around 80 basis points lower than the 30-year fixed rate, resulting in significantly lower interest payments for […]
The fall edition of PRTNR Magazine is here, filled with innovation, insight, and community highlights. Inside, you’ll find recaps from our Coffee with Clients sessions with REO Management Solutions and Xome, a practical design feature from Dallas interior designer Heather Fujikawa on five simple home updates, and the latest AI tools showcased […]
This week’s Chart of the Week focuses on trends in commercial and multifamily originations, which saw a 36 percent increase year-over-year in the third quarter of 2025. The blue bars highlight that 2023-2025 were years with large volumes of scheduled maturities that are now overlapping with significant growth in originations […]
At last week’s MBA Annual Convention and Expo in Las Vegas, lenders discussed and debated ways to reduce origination costs and increase productivity by investing in more modern technology, refining the use of technology, and making the loan production process more efficient. Improved servicing recapture and offering a greater variety of non-agency loan products […]
Home price growth in many markets around the U.S. is slowing. Based on July 2025 data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s House Price Indexes (HPI), year-over-year home price growth in the U.S. was 2.3 percent relative to July 2024. Comparing July data from the past five years, the nine […]
Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), when used appropriately, can help ease affordability challenges and provide homeownership and equity building opportunities for qualified borrowers. With the recent steepening in the yield curve, the spread between ARM and fixed-rate mortgage rates has widened. Over the past four weeks, ARM rates averaged 80 basis points […]
MBA’s Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) shows that national affordability conditions improved each month from May to August. This recent trend in PAPI, which measures how new purchase mortgage payments vary over time relative to income, means that the index has decreased by 13% from the series high of 177.9 […]
This Chart of the Week focuses on the distribution of the multifamily market share by capital source. The multifamily market is a fundamental part of the broader commercial real estate market, and originations have been strong throughout 2025. The figure reports MBA estimates of the shares of originations by each capital source, […]
Each quarter, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) submit their projections for various economic measures (i.e., real gross domestic product growth, the unemployment rate, inflation, and the federal funds rate). This month’s projections, shown in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), included 2028 for the first time. In this […]
Job growth slowed to just 22,000 jobs in August and estimates for the prior two months were revised down by 21,000. The revised estimate shows a net loss in June, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level since October 2021. The job market is softening, with even […]
This Chart of the Week focuses on trends in mortgage industry employment and appropriately coincides with Labor Day and MBA’s upcoming Human Resources Symposium. In this chart, we focus on three different measurements of mortgage employment from three different sources. Perhaps the most used and frequently cited metric for mortgage industry employment is […]
Independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported pre-tax net production profit of 25 bps ($950 per loan) on each loan they originated in the second quarter of 2025, compared to a net loss of 7 bps ($28 per loan) in the first quarter of 2025, according […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS) released yesterday, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties decreased slightly to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.93 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the second quarter of 2025. The delinquency rate was down 11 basis […]
MBA recently completed its 2025 Home Equity Lending Study, tracking trends in origination and servicing for home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) and home equity loans. According to the study, total originations of open-end home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) and closed-end home equity loans increased in 2024 by 7.2 percent […]
A total of 4,758 companies reported lending activity under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) in 2024, according to MBA’s analyses of the dataset. There was no change to 2024’s loan-volume reporting threshold of 25 closed-end loans (or 200 open-end lines of credit) originated in each of the preceding two […]
Based on results from MBA’s latest Servicing Operations Study and Forum (SOSF), fully-loaded mortgage servicing costs of performing loans averaged $176 per loan in 2024, while the costs of non-performing loans averaged $1,573 per loan. These results are derived from a sample of in-house servicers, representing approximately 60 percent of the […]
This edition features compelling stories of leadership, resilience, and the partnerships shaping our industry. Explore our “Coffee with Clients” series, gain insights on squatter relief in the Regional Representatives Corner, and get expert advice from Ed Laine on navigating today’s foreclosure landscape. Robert Passafiume offers tips from an asset manager’s […]
The elevated cost burden of purchasing a new home since interest rates rose precipitously in 2022 has continued through mid-2025. For example, the median principal and interest payment for purchase loans (P&I), based on MBA’s Weekly Applications Survey data, was 86% higher in May 2025 than in January 2018 (green solid line […]
Given the current economic uncertainty, a lot of attention is being paid to the health of the labor market. Overall, it is fair to say that the job market is still healthy but continues to weaken. Based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Employment Situation report, job growth came in […]
Inadequate housing supply has been a well-documented challenge for the housing market in recent years. However, there are recent signs that for-sale inventory in many parts of the country has started to grow again. Inventory of existing or previously owned homes has been low due to an aging housing stock […]
This week’s Chart of the Week details turn times for the broker wholesale and non-delegated correspondent production channels in the first quarter of 2025. For the broker channel, “application to closing” is defined as the number of calendar days from which six pieces of information are received from the borrower per RESPA […]
The Federal Reserve remains on hold. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) projections from the June 2025 meeting show that members expect increases in both the unemployment rate and inflation throughout the course of this year, as well as slightly weaker economic growth. At this point, neither trend warrants a change in the […]
An updated measure of GSE-eligible credit risk was recently released by the Smith Enterprise Risk Consortium (SERC) at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business. The SERC Mortgage Credit Risk Index (MCRI) measures the default risk for loans aggregated and sold to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae in each quarter. Higher […]
Commercial mortgage delinquencies increased across all major capital sources in the first quarter of 2025, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest Commercial Delinquency Report. While overall delinquency rates remain relatively low by historical standards, the increases highlight growing stress in parts of the market, particularly in sectors facing refinancing […]
In the first quarter of 2025, U.S. house prices increased 4.0% compared to the first quarter of 2024, as reported by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. House price growth has seen positive annual growth since 2012 but has started to slow since reaching a peak of over 18% in 2022. Outside […]
Independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported a pre-tax net loss of $28 on each loan they originated in the first quarter of 2025, compared to a net loss of $40 per loan in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS) released earlier this week, the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties increased 6 basis points from the previous quarter to a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.04 percent of all loans outstanding by the end of the first quarter of […]
Spring brings fresh starts and new energy to real estate—and this issue of PRTNR Magazine embraces it all. From digital marketing tips and outdoor design inspiration to a spotlight on USREOP member Wendy Knipp’s new book, The Rooms In Your House, and a timely reminder about Fair Housing, we’re celebrating […]
The April Employment Situation report showed that the job market continues to hold up. The pace of job growth slowed in April to a 177,000 gain, down from a downwardly revised 185,000 gain in March, but above the 152,000 average gain over the past 12 months. The unemployment rate was […]
Based on an analysis of MBA’s State Mortgage Activity Report data through March 2025, we saw 11 of the 20 largest states experience increases in year-to-date purchase applications, while the other 9 states experienced declines in purchase activity. Nationally, aggregate purchase applications have been showing year-over-year growth since late January, a sign […]
MBA’s April forecasts and commentary include some sizable updates from our March forecasts as we try to incorporate the net impact of the frequently changing tariff landscape. While there is still significant policy uncertainty and increased market volatility, there is a near consensus among economists regarding the directional effects of the tariffs […]
Market volatility, both in equity and bond markets, increased sharply this week because of the serial surprises with respect to the direction of U.S. tariff policy. Mortgage markets are impacted in numerous ways by this volatility. The most direct impact observed is from the widening in the spread between mortgage […]
Since World War II, the consensus among economists has been pro-free trade with the attitude to tariffs summed up by JP Morgan’s David Kelly: “The trouble with tariffs, to be succinct, is that they raise prices, slow economic growth, cut profits, increase unemployment, worsen inequality, diminish productivity, and increase global […]
According to MBA’s Quarterly Mortgage Debt Outstanding Report, total commercial and multifamily mortgage debt outstanding increased by 3.7% year-over-year, rising from $4.62 trillion in Q4 2023 to $4.79 trillion in Q4 2024. This growth reflects continued investment in commercial real estate, with sector-specific variations in debt allocation. Banks and thrifts remained […]
Independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported a pre-tax net loss of 4 basis points (-$40 per loan) in the fourth quarter of 2024, a decrease from the net profit of 18 basis points ($701 per loan) in the third quarter of 2024, according to the Mortgage […]
The headwinds facing mortgage transactions continued unabated in 2024 as home prices reached new record highs while the 30-year mortgage rate rose back over 7%. One sector that effectively dealt with these impediments was the homebuilders. In Q3 2024 the top 8 homebuilders originated 9.53% of FHA purchase loan originations, […]
Twenty percent ($957 billion) of $4.8 trillion of outstanding commercial mortgages held by lenders and investors will mature in 2025, a 3 percent increase from the $929 billion that matured in 2024, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 2024 Commercial Real Estate Survey of Loan Maturity Volumes. Many loans that were […]
A new measure of GSE-eligible credit risk was recently released by the Smith Enterprise Risk Consortium (SERC) at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business. The SERC Mortgage Credit Risk Index (MCRI) measures the default risk for every loan aggregated to each quarter for loans sold to Freddie […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS) released yesterday, the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.98 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024. The delinquency rate was up 10 basis […]
We are excited to kick off 2025 with our winter edition of PRTNR Magazine! This issue is packed with insights you won’t want to miss. It features two engaging Coffee with Client interviews, a Member Spotlight on Las Vegas industry leader Brandy White Elk, and part two of our Five […]
Delinquency rates for commercial property mortgages increased in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest Commercial Real Estate Finance (CREF) Loan Performance Survey. Most property types experienced an increase in delinquency rates over the quarter, with industrial properties the lone exception. Delinquencies on office loans […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s Monthly Loan Monitoring Survey released this week, approximately 235,000 homeowners are in forbearance plans as of December 31, 2024. This level is substantially lower than the peak of almost 4.3 million homeowners in June 2020 and the 8.5 million borrowers who have been provided forbearance since […]
The job market strengthened in December, with payrolls increasing by 256,000 for the month and capping a year of faster-than-expected job gain; the average monthly number of jobs added per month was 186,000. The unemployment rate decreased to 4.1%, and wage growth decreased slightly to 3.9%. The December employment report […]
Yesterday as we said a final goodbye to President Jimmy Carter, I was thinking about the turbulent macroeconomic environment that prevailed in the years before, during, and after his administration. While it is difficult to make a true apples-to-apples comparison, several articles point to similarities between the 1978 to 1982 housing market […]
Annualized home price growth in the U.S. peaked between the second half of 2021 and first half of 2022 before decelerating through most of 2023 as rising mortgage rates and tight inventory contributed to a pullback in demand. However, these price trends varied considerably between geographies because of factors such […]
Based on the November 2024 jobs report, the unemployment rate is above 4.2 percent, the household survey again showed a large drop in employment, and more households reported spells of long-term unemployment, which is typically defined as being unemployed for 27 weeks or more. While we are not seeing a […]
As the industry begins to recap 2024 and looks ahead to 2025, reliable lender rankings are often of interest. In this week’s Chart of the Week, we feature GSE and FHA originator rankings that cover the first half of 2024. For the first two quarters of 2024, Rocket Mortgage was the […]
Independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported a simple average pre-tax net profit of 18 basis points, or $701, on each loan they originated in the third quarter of 2024, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) newly released Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report. This marks the second […]
After a slow start to this year, borrowing and lending backed by commercial real estate properties picked up during the third quarter. Originations increased 59 percent compared to a year ago and increased 44 percent from the second quarter of 2024. Lower interest rates were a key driver of the […]
Both Treasury yields and mortgage rates declined from April to September 2024 in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut, influenced by the cooling job market and inflation moving towards the Fed’s 2 percent goal. The 10-year Treasury yield hit a low of 3.7 percent in mid-September and the […]
Welcome to our latest issue of PRTNR Magazine. As we begin to wrap up the year, it’s the perfect time to reflect and strategize for the future. We’re kicking off the first of a two-part series, Five Essential Tips for Real Estate Agents: Preparing for Year-End, with expert insights on finishing the […]
As attendees from this year’s Annual Convention and Expo return to their respective states, many messages are top of mind. One priority is supply and affordability. While estimates of housing underproduction in the U.S. vary, a new report from Up for Growth puts the gap between the housing we have and the […]
In mid-September, the U.S. Census Bureau released its 2023 American Community Survey (ACS) one-year estimates. The ACS data, updated annually, provides detailed information about “jobs and occupations, educational attainment, veterans, whether people own or rent their homes,” and other information that allows public officials, planners, and entrepreneurs “to assess the past and […]
Mortgage applications to buy newly built homes have been seeing year-over-year growth since 2023, and in the MBA Builder Applications Survey results for September 2024, purchase applications were up 11 percent on an annual basis. New home purchase activity has outperformed existing home purchases in recent years because newly built homes coming […]
At the end of September 2024, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the U.S. Census Bureau released 2023 American Housing Survey (AHS) data. The AHS, updated every two years, is the “most comprehensive national housing survey in the United States,” and provides information about the quality and cost […]
The broker wholesale and non-delegated correspondent production channels accounted for a combined 20.5 percent of dollar volume originated in 2023 per MBA’s analyses of the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data. This is the highest combined share on record for these channels since 2018 when MBA first started tracking this […]
The FOMC lowered the target Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points at its September meeting and signaled that this is the first cut in a series that is expected to bring the Fed Funds rate down by about 2 percentage points by the end of 2025. This week’s chart […]
A total of 4,874 companies reported lending activity under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) in 2023, according to MBA’s analyses of the dataset. This year’s jump in numbers was due to a drop in the loan-volume reporting threshold, from 100 closed-end loans (or 200 open-end lines of credit) originated […]
The August employment report confirmed that the job market is cooling. With a 142,000 job increase in August and downward revisions of the June and July numbers, job growth has slowed to an average of 116,000 jobs over the past three months. The 2024 year-to-date average is 184,000 jobs per […]
Is the logjam in CRE transaction activity starting to break? Since the second half of 2022, commercial real estate sales transaction and mortgage origination volumes have been in the dumps. Originations in the second half of 2022 were more than a third lower than they had been a year earlier. […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS) released this week, the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.97 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the second quarter of 2024. The delinquency rate was up 60 […]
Last week the Research Institute for Housing America (RIHA), MBA’s think tank, released a special report, Mortgage Design, Underwriting, and Interventions: Promoting Sustainable Homeownership, that looks at the lessons learned from the Great Financial Crisis, the Covid-19 pandemic, and other past episodes of default, to understand how to design a more robust […]
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For over two decades, the MBA and STRATMOR Peer Group Roundtable Program (PGR) has captured mortgage lender financial and operational metrics for benchmarking purposes. The PGR program provides this data for IMBs, banks, and credit unions, with lenders assigned to different peer groups based on their origination volumes and business models. Our 2023 PGR […]
MBA recently completed its 2024 Home Equity Lending Study (covering 2023 data) tracking trends in origination and servicing operations for home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) and home equity loans. While there are opportunities in this space given the substantial accumulated home equity of many existing homeowners, lenders cited challenges in originating […]
New York City has Local Law 97. Washington D.C. has its Building Energy Performance Standards (BEPS). Seattle has its Building Emissions Performance Standards (also BEPS). Denver has its Building Performance Policy (BPP). Efforts to reduce carbon emissions related to commercial real estate have gone local, with the Biden Administration establishing a National Building […]
Once again, the headline gain in nonfarm payroll employment does not tell the entire story. While the headline gain showed an increase of 206,000 jobs in June, government employment accounted for more than one-third of the gain, largely a function of increases in state and local jobs. Although June’s increase was above […]
Physicists have protons, neutrons, and electrons. Biologists have DNA and RNA. And economists have supply and demand—the building blocks upon which most of our understanding of markets rest. In commercial real estate (CRE), demand is driven by a variety of economic, demographic, and other factors that occasionally ebb but generally flow—increasing the […]
MBA’s annual Servicing Operations Study and Forum (SOSF) includes a deep-dive analysis and discussion of servicing costs, productivity, and portfolio characteristics for in‐house single-family servicers, representing about 60 percent of the single-family servicing market. Based on the most recent completed study cycle, fully-loaded servicing costs remained flat relative to the previous year at […]
The longstanding MBA and STRATMOR Peer Group Roundtables Program (“PGR”) recently wrapped up its Spring 2024 season for benchmarking lender performance across various production channels and peer groups. Based on a total sample of about sixty mortgage lenders, per-loan mortgage fulfillment expenses (processing, underwriting, closing, and other fulfillment costs) rose to new […]
Following the precipitous rise in interest rates and home prices in 2022 that starkly eroded affordability conditions for home buyers, the monthly cost burden of purchasing a new home continued to increase in 2023 and the first four months of 2024, albeit at a slower pace. MBA Weekly Applications Survey (WAS) data […]
This week’s Chart of the Week examines the spread between the 30-year fixed mortgage rate and 10-year Treasury yield. Between 1990 and 2021, the spread averaged around 170 basis points, but starting in 2022, this spread widened dramatically, exceeding 300 basis points in some weeks (the chart shows the data in monthly […]
According to MBA’s Q1 2024 Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report released this week, independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported a pre-tax net production loss of 25 basis points (or $645 per loan). While the first quarter of 2024 marks the eighth consecutive quarter of net production losses, these […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS) released this week, the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties increased slightly to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.94 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the first quarter of 2024. The delinquency rate was up […]
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the federal funds target unchanged at its May meeting, as incoming data regarding the strength of the economy and stubbornly high inflation have resulted in a shift in the expected timing of a first rate cut. In recent weeks, several Federal Reserve officials […]
With Earth Day this past week, it seems an opportune time to discuss the intersection of climate/sustainability issues and real estate finance. MBA has been leading on these issues for more than half a decade, helping members through our work related to research, policy, and practice. There are two central […]
The pandemic did a number on the housing market. Rental markets were already stretched from years of underdevelopment that followed the Great Financial Crisis, while a surge of millennials was just entering their formative renting years. The result was falling multifamily vacancy rates, which dropped from an all-time high of 13.1 […]
Welcome to the spring edition of PRTNR Magazine! This issue explores crucial topics and offers perspectives and tips to guide you through the ever-evolving real estate terrain, including implications of the NAR Settlement and the innovative power of AI tools. We hope you find inspiration, knowledge and actionable insights to […]
This week’s news has been around the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release showing that inflation was hotter than expected in March, which is likely to delay the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut in 2024 and contributed to a significant spike in the 10-year Treasury yield to over 4.5%. Rates were already moving […]
As we enter the spring home-buying season, existing-home sales activity remains suppressed by low levels of for-sale inventory. Available supply sits at just over one million units – a 2.9-month supply – and about half the historical average, based on data from the National Association of Realtors. Many homeowners are holding […]
This week’s Chart of the Week (COTW) shows MBA’s estimates of the distribution of CRE mortgage debt across capital sources and property types and is derived from a variety of public and private sources. As can be seen, CRE mortgage debt is not a monolithic market. Rather, it is made up of a broad […]
MBA recently released its latest Quarterly Performance Report for the fourth quarter of 2023. The total sample of 342 independent mortgage banks and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks reported per-tax net production losses of 73 basis points (or $2,109) on each loan they originated. This marks the seventh consecutive quarter of net production losses. In […]
This week Fed Chair Jay Powell testified to Congress that as “labor market tightness has eased and progress on inflation has continued, the risks to achieving our employment and inflation goals have been moving into better balance.” On Wednesday, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) data from the U.S. Bureau […]
MBA Research recently analyzed repurchase and indemnification volume over a five-year period from the third quarter of 2018 through the third quarter of 2023. Data was collected from approximately 500 independent mortgage companies through the Mortgage Bankers’ Financial Reporting Form, completed by Fannie and Freddie seller-servicers and Ginnie Mae issuers. For this Chart […]
Commercial mortgages tend to be relatively long-lived, spreading maturities out over several years. A lack of transactions and other activity last year, coupled with built-in extension options and lender and servicer flexibility, has meant that many commercial mortgages that were set to mature in 2023 have been extended or otherwise […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS), the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties increased to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.88 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the fourth quarter of 2023. The delinquency rate was up 26 basis […]
With the arrival of a new year, new ideas and concepts come to life, paving the way for opportunities and innovative projects. In this issue, you’ll be introduced to a recent initiative undertaken by US REO Partners in Puerto Rico and tips to navigate the 2024 real estate landscape You’ll also […]
MBA’s January 2024 forecast calls for mortgage origination dollar volume to increase 23 percent in 2024 to $2 trillion, with a 16 percent increase in purchase and a 50 percent increase in refinance volume (off an extremely low base in 2023). For mortgage lenders of all types and sizes, as well as […]
Ongoing challenges in commercial real estate markets pushed the delinquency rate on CRE-backed loans higher in the final three months of 2023. Delinquency rates jumped to 6.5 percent of balances for loans backed by office properties and to 6.1 percent for lodging-backed loans. Delinquencies for loans backed by retail properties remained […]
Even though many commercial real estate loans are long-lived, with terms of five, seven, ten, or more years, there’s a sense that the industry starts each year fresh. Sometimes, that means losing credit for all the deals and successes of the previous 12 months. Sometimes—like now—it means being able to put last […]
This morning’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the job market remained relatively strong in December, with growth in payrolls of 216,000 – just below the monthly average of 225,000 for full-year 2023. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7% in December, but higher than what we saw in […]
This year has been tough for the housing market in terms of total originations. MBA estimates that this year’s total originations will be $1.64 trillion, the November FHA Annual Report to Congress reports that FHA forward originations were down by over 18% from FY 2022 to FY 2023, and MBA’s […]
Home price appreciation across many parts of the country remains strong, despite low levels of home sales and potential buyers still waiting in the wings for mortgage rates to decline further. The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) house price index report for the third quarter of 2023 showed that aggregate home price […]
Since March of 2023, a recurring set of questions has revolved around a) how conditions in commercial real estate (CRE) are affecting banks and b) how conditions with banks are affecting CRE. A variety of Charts of the Week (COTW)—including here, here, and here—have delved into the topic and we do so again today, digging […]
According to the latest results from MBA’s National Delinquency Survey (NDS) released today, the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties increased to 3.62 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the third quarter of 2023. The delinquency rate was 25 basis points higher than the series-low 3.37 […]
This week’s Chart of the Week highlights the October Employment Situation results released this morning. The job market continued to fare reasonably well in October but showed signs of weakening. Employers added 150,000 jobs over the month, but the October number was partially held down by a loss of 33,000 […]
MBA’s latest commercial real estate finance (CREF) forecast anticipates 2023 origination volumes ($442 billion) will come in just a bit more than half of what they were in 2022 ($816 billion). Perhaps more significantly, it anticipates a slower bounce-back in activity than previous forecasts, driven by “higher-for-longer” interest rates resulting not just from […]
This week at the MBA Annual Convention and Expo in Philadelphia, our Research & Economics team presented the October forecast, which showed that total mortgage origination volume is expected to increase to $1.95 trillion in 2024 from the $1.64 trillion expected in 2023. By loan count, total mortgage origination units are […]
This edition of PRTNR Magazine is a celebration of the many facets of this beautiful season and how they parallel the dynamics of the unpredictable real estate industry. As you read through the pages, we hope you’ll find inspiration and practical insights that can be applied to your own business ventures and […]
The monthly cost burden of purchasing a new home, as interest rates and house prices rose precipitously in 2022, has continued into 2023. Indeed, this week’s Weekly Applications Survey (WAS) release noted that the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is at 7.67%—the highest level since 2000—and the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s […]
Each quarter, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) submit their projections for various economic measures (i.e., real gross domestic product growth, the unemployment rate, inflation, and the federal funds rate). This month’s projections, shown in the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), included 2026 for the first time. In this […]
The monthly cost burden of purchasing a new home, as interest rates and house prices rose precipitously in 2022, continued in the first few months of 2023. For example, MBA’s Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI) hit a new high in May. Since then, despite 30-year mortgage interest rates eclipsing 7%, […]
According to the July results from MBA’s Monthly Loan Monitoring Survey (LMS) released on Monday, the total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 5 basis points from 0.44% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior month to 0.39% as of July 31, 2023. Over the past three years, the forbearance rate […]
We’ve teamed up with some well-respected industry leaders to provide an amazing afternoon of training. The focus will be on the latest trends, strategies, and best practices in the REO space. This is a great opportunity to connect with peers and colleagues and we look forward to you joining us! […]
This week, MBA Research released the second quarter results of its Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report (QPR). The sample of 344 independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and bank subsidiaries reported an average pre-tax net loss of $534 on each loan they originated in the second quarter of 2023. While improved from the reported […]
Yesterday, MBA released the latest results from its National Delinquency Survey (NDS ). Earlier in the week, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Center for Microeconomic Data issued its latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. According to the NDS, the overall delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one‐to‐four‐unit residential properties fell […]
Loans originated for the purchase of a home grew to an average size of $371,000 in 2022, from $344,000 in 2021, according to MBA’s analyses of the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) dataset. This week’s Chart of the Week explores differences in average home purchase loan sizes by company type, where company […]
The divergence between existing and new home sales activity continues to grow. This week’s Chart of the Week compares data from our Builder Applications Survey (BAS), which captures home purchase applications on newly constructed homes taken by mortgage companies affiliated with home builders, and the Weekly Applications Survey (WAS), which covers a broader sample […]
In May 2023, MBA Research released the first quarter results of its Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report (QPR). Total loan production expenses – commissions, compensation, occupancy, equipment, and other production expenses and corporate allocations – increased to a study-high of $13,171 per loan in the first quarter, up from $12,450 per loan […]
This week, the U.S. Census Bureau released updated construction spending survey data (https://www.census.gov/construction/c30/current/index.html). Also referred to as the Value of Construction Put in Place (VIP), the survey covers all private residential construction and improvements, non-residential construction, and public construction. Total construction spending in the U.S. increased by 0.9% from April […]
In commercial real estate (CRE), all eyes remain on the office market. That is despite the fact that multifamily mortgage debt—accounting for $2.0 trillion of the $4.6 trillion of total outstanding—is almost three times as large and office accounts for just 17 percent of total CRE debt. But office is the […]
2020 and 2021 were record-setting years with $4.11 trillion and $4.44 trillion in originations respectively, as the industry experienced record low mortgage rates and home price appreciation soared across the country. Indeed, 2021 set records for purchase ($1.86 trillion) and refinance originations ($2.57 trillion). The last time the mortgage industry […]
According to data from MBA’s May 2023 Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI), we saw the third consecutive month of declining credit availability, as the industry continued to see more consolidation and reduced capacity as a result of the tougher market. These factors brought the MCAI to its lowest level since January […]
National house price growth has cooled drastically since reaching a high of 18.5 percent in the third quarter of 2021, with first quarter 2023 house price appreciation coming in at 4.3 percent. These are annual or four quarter percent changes, based on the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s (FHFA) Purchase-Only House […]